Samford
Southern · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#64
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#52
+3.6 pts · likely #25–76
Strength of schedule
30.4
#64 of 129
Strength of victory
28.8
#22
Record SOS
0.437
Opp. 41.4% · Opp. opp. 48.3%
Remaining SOS
35.3
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Samford. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at West Georgia | L 29-38 | −4.1 | +2.1 | 0.227 | 3 | −9.3 |
| 3 | vs Alabama State | W 12-7 | −1.1 | −2.1 | 0.205 | 3 | +2.6 |
| 6 | vs VMI | W 27-3 | −14.6 | −2.1 | 0.041 | 4 | +7.8 |
| 7 | at East Tennessee State | L 28-31 | +10.0 | +2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Wofford · p 0.173
- Wk 11: vs Tennessee Tech · p 0.183
- Wk 12: at Chattanooga · p 0.672
- Wk 13: vs Western Carolina · p 0.385
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at FloridaFBS · L 7-45