The Citadel
Southern · 3-5 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#89
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#90
−5.5 pts · likely #66–109
Strength of schedule
32.3
#54 of 129
Strength of victory
19.5
#57
Record SOS
0.459
Opp. 45.6% · Opp. opp. 46.6%
Remaining SOS
40.9
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-3
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against The Citadel. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Charleston Southern | W 22-21 | −9.4 | +2.1 | 0.134 | 3 | −6.2 |
| 2 | vs South Carolina State | L 20-23 | +2.2 | −2.1 | 0.273 | 2 | −3.4 |
| 4 | at Mercer | L 21-38 | +12.6 | +2.1 | 0.650 | 1 | −3.3 |
| 5 | vs East Tennessee State | L 17-34 | +8.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Chattanooga · p 0.565
- Wk 12: at Wofford · p 0.254
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs North GreenvilleDII · W 54-0