Alabama State
SWAC · 3-3 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#81
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#64
−0.3 pts · likely #39–92
Strength of schedule
23.8
#97 of 129
Strength of victory
7.6
#83
Record SOS
0.427
Opp. 42.2% · Opp. opp. 43.5%
Remaining SOS
19.3
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alabama State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) North Carolina Central | L 24-31 | +9.3 | 0.0 | 0.510 | 1 | +2.3 |
| 3 | at Samford | L 7-12 | +3.5 | +2.1 | 0.409 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 5 | at Bethune-Cookman | W 26-21 | −16.2 | +2.1 | 0.058 | 4 | −7.2 |
| 6 | vs Florida A&M | L 13-28 | +2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs (N) Alcorn State · p 0.123
- Wk 11: at Grambling State · p 0.235
- Wk 12: vs Jackson State · p 0.350
- Wk 13: vs Prairie View A&M · p 0.065
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Miles CollegeDII · W 24-3