Yale
Ivy · 3-2 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#43
A #25-level team matches it 80% of the time
Power
#49
+4.0 pts · likely #22–73
Strength of schedule
33.5
#45 of 129
Strength of victory
37.4
#6
Record SOS
0.591
Opp. 65.0% · Opp. opp. 47.3%
Remaining SOS
37.7
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Yale. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | at Holy Cross | W 38-31 | +11.2 | +1.8 | 0.607 | 1 | +18.4 |
| 5 | at Cornell | L 23-47 | −8.8 | +1.8 | 0.138 | 3 | −25.3 |
| 6 | vs Central Connecticut State | W 23-22 | +0.4 | −1.8 | 0.240 | 3 | −0.5 |
| 7 | vs Dartmouth | L 43-44 OT | +7.6 | −1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Penn · p 0.423
- Wk 10: at Columbia · p 0.479
- Wk 11: vs Brown · p 0.213
- Wk 12: vs Princeton · p 0.213
- Wk 13: at Harvard · p 0.556