Holy Cross
Patriot · 3-4 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#72
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#20
+9.7 pts · likely #10–47
Strength of schedule
34.1
#43 of 129
Strength of victory
19.5
#51
Record SOS
0.504
Opp. 49.3% · Opp. opp. 52.7%
Remaining SOS
23.8
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Holy Cross. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Rhode Island | L 17-20 | +8.6 | +1.8 | 0.537 | 1 | +7.8 |
| 2 | vs New Hampshire | L 20-21 | +8.8 | −1.8 | 0.447 | 2 | +6.2 |
| 3 | at Bryant | W 43-22 | −5.1 | +1.8 | 0.201 | 3 | +17.3 |
| 4 | vs Yale | L 31-38 | +1.3 | −1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Lafayette · p 0.366
- Wk 11: vs Lehigh · p 0.237
- Wk 12: vs Bucknell · p 0.110
- Wk 13: at Georgetown · p 0.238
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 5: at SyracuseFBS · L 14-42