Central Connecticut State
NEC · 3-2 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#57
A #25-level team matches it 92% of the time
Power
#59
+0.2 pts · likely #36–93
Strength of schedule
25.6
#86 of 129
Strength of victory
10.8
#67
Record SOS
0.433
Opp. 35.0% · Opp. opp. 60.0%
Remaining SOS
26.1
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Connecticut State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Fordham | W 33-3 | −5.3 | −1.8 | 0.138 | 3 | +21.2 |
| 3 | at Saint Francis | W 27-20 | −10.2 | +1.8 | 0.119 | 3 | −1.3 |
| 6 | at Yale | L 22-23 | +4.6 | +1.8 | 0.429 | 2 | +4.8 |
| 7 | vs Mercyhurst | W 38-20 | −11.2 | −1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Long Island · p 0.196
- Wk 10: vs Wagner · p 0.095
- Wk 11: at Stonehill · p 0.048
- Wk 12: vs Robert Morris · p 0.205
- Wk 13: vs Duquesne · p 0.478
- Wk 14: at Rhode Island · p 0.544
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Central MichiganFBS · L 10-66
- Wk 4: at MassachusettsFBS · L 31-35