Yale
Ivy · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#62
A #25-level team matches it 91% of the time
Power
#54
+2.0 pts · likely #28–84
Strength of schedule
34.5
#46 of 129
Strength of victory
41.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.563
Opp. 65.0% · Opp. opp. 38.9%
Remaining SOS
36.9
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Yale. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | at Holy Cross | W 38-31 | +11.6 | +1.7 | 0.615 | 1 | +18.1 |
| 5 | at Cornell | L 23-47 | −11.7 | +1.7 | 0.098 | 4 | −27.4 |
| 6 | vs Central Connecticut State | W 23-22 | −0.6 | −1.7 | 0.222 | 3 | −1.4 |
| 7 | vs Dartmouth | L 43-44 OT | +8.6 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Lehigh · p 0.277
- Wk 9: at Penn · p 0.468
- Wk 10: at Columbia · p 0.440
- Wk 11: vs Brown · p 0.260
- Wk 12: vs Princeton · p 0.194
- Wk 13: at Harvard · p 0.577