Central Connecticut State
NEC · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#46
A #25-level team matches it 87% of the time
Power
#68
−0.8 pts · likely #38–97
Strength of schedule
17.7
#116 of 129
Strength of victory
11.2
#56
Record SOS
0.323
Opp. 16.7% · Opp. opp. 63.6%
Remaining SOS
28.7
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Connecticut State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Fordham | W 33-3 | −6.0 | −1.7 | 0.129 | 3 | +20.2 |
| 3 | at Saint Francis | W 27-20 | −8.4 | +1.7 | 0.143 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 6 | at Yale | L 22-23 | +2.5 | +1.7 | 0.371 | 2 | +2.7 |
| 7 | vs Mercyhurst | W 38-20 | −11.8 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Dartmouth · p 0.515
- Wk 9: at Long Island · p 0.231
- Wk 10: vs Wagner · p 0.076
- Wk 11: at Stonehill · p 0.048
- Wk 12: vs Robert Morris · p 0.177
- Wk 13: vs Duquesne · p 0.503
- Wk 14: at Rhode Island · p 0.461
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Central MichiganFBS · L 10-66
- Wk 4: at MassachusettsFBS · L 31-35