Holy Cross
Patriot · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#67
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#26
+9.4 pts · likely #11–51
Strength of schedule
30.6
#61 of 129
Strength of victory
21.8
#37
Record SOS
0.470
Opp. 43.1% · Opp. opp. 55.0%
Remaining SOS
32.2
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Holy Cross. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Rhode Island | L 17-20 | +5.0 | +1.7 | 0.438 | 2 | +4.3 |
| 2 | vs New Hampshire | L 20-21 | +12.2 | −1.7 | 0.544 | 1 | +9.5 |
| 3 | at Bryant | W 43-22 | −0.6 | +1.7 | 0.296 | 2 | +21.0 |
| 4 | vs Yale | L 31-38 | −1.6 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Harvard · p 0.577
- Wk 9: at Lafayette · p 0.355
- Wk 11: vs Lehigh · p 0.277
- Wk 12: vs Bucknell · p 0.140
- Wk 13: at Georgetown · p 0.259
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 5: at SyracuseFBS · L 14-42