Youngstown State
MVFC · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#72
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#30
+7.5 pts · likely #14–59
Strength of schedule
36.1
#39 of 129
Strength of victory
9.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.539
Opp. 60.0% · Opp. opp. 41.8%
Remaining SOS
60.7
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Youngstown State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Villanova | L 17-24 | +15.2 | +1.7 | 0.704 | 1 | +9.4 |
| 2 | vs Valparaiso | W 59-25 | −19.8 | −1.7 | 0.019 | 4 | +12.0 |
| 3 | vs Duquesne | L 25-28 | +4.9 | −1.7 | 0.347 | 2 | +1.8 |
| 5 | at Missouri State | L 31-38 | +10.1 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at South Dakota State · p 0.961
- Wk 8: vs South Dakota · p 0.794
- Wk 9: vs North Dakota · p 0.573
- Wk 10: at Illinois State · p 0.641
- Wk 11: at Southern Illinois · p 0.383
- Wk 12: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.290
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 4: at PittsburghFBS · L 17-73