Valparaiso
Pioneer · 0-4 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#110
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#126
−20.4 pts · likely #112–128
Strength of schedule
26.6
#80 of 129
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.424
Opp. 35.4% · Opp. opp. 56.3%
Remaining SOS
13.4
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Valparaiso. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Northern Iowa | L 7-35 | +1.7 | +1.7 | 0.352 | 2 | −23.5 |
| 2 | at Youngstown State | L 25-59 | +6.8 | +1.7 | 0.487 | 2 | −24.9 |
| 5 | at Morehead State | L 5-17 | −17.1 | +1.7 | 0.049 | 4 | −26.1 |
| 6 | vs Drake | L 3-27 | −3.1 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.057
- Wk 9: at Marist · p 0.012
- Wk 11: vs Butler · p 0.309
- Wk 12: at Dayton · p 0.206
- Wk 13: vs Davidson · p 0.083
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Indiana WesleyanNon-NCAA · W 20-17
- Wk 4: vs RooseveltDII · W 31-23