Drake
Pioneer · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
#19
A #25-level team matches it 53% of the time
Power
#76
−2.0 pts · likely #46–101
Strength of schedule
36.2
#38 of 129
Strength of victory
21.3
#27
Record SOS
0.497
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 49.2%
Remaining SOS
15.4
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Drake. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Eastern Washington | W 35-32 OT | +7.0 | +1.7 | 0.492 | 2 | +8.9 |
| 4 | at South Dakota | L 3-42 | +20.3 | +1.7 | 0.812 | 1 | −11.2 |
| 5 | vs San Diego | W 30-28 | −7.4 | −1.7 | 0.110 | 3 | −6.5 |
| 6 | at Valparaiso | W 27-3 | −19.2 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Butler · p 0.309
- Wk 8: at Presbyterian · p 0.050
- Wk 10: vs Marist · p 0.007
- Wk 11: at St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.088
- Wk 12: vs Morehead State · p 0.036
- Wk 13: at Stetson · p 0.023
- Wk 14: at Tarleton State · p 0.563