Duquesne
NEC · 2-0 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 38% of the time
Power
#38
+6.4 pts · likely #12–69
Strength of schedule
35.5
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
35.5
2 wins
Record SOS
0.400
Opp. 25.0% · Opp. opp. 70.0%
Remaining SOS
14.4
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Duquesne. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Youngstown State | W 28-25 | +8.6 | +1.7 | 0.536 | 1 | +12.1 |
| 6 | vs Long Island | W 47-21 | −3.1 | −1.7 | 0.175 | 3 | +18.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Saint Francis · p 0.198
- Wk 9: at Stonehill · p 0.062
- Wk 10: vs Mercyhurst · p 0.057
- Wk 11: vs Robert Morris · p 0.165
- Wk 12: vs Wagner · p 0.087
- Wk 13: at Central Connecticut State · p 0.297
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at ToledoFBS · L 10-49
- Wk 2: at Boston CollegeFBS · L 0-56
- Wk 4: vs West Virginia WesleyanDII · W 35-0