Wofford
Southern · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#53
A #25-level team matches it 88% of the time
Power
#70
−1.1 pts · likely #45–97
Strength of schedule
44.6
#14 of 129
Strength of victory
36.4
2 wins
Record SOS
0.566
Opp. 68.3% · Opp. opp. 33.2%
Remaining SOS
30.5
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Wofford. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Gardner-Webb | W 21-20 | −3.8 | +1.7 | 0.227 | 3 | −1.0 |
| 2 | at Richmond | W 26-19 | +7.4 | +1.7 | 0.502 | 1 | +13.3 |
| 3 | vs William & Mary | L 21-28 | +12.0 | −1.7 | 0.536 | 1 | +2.5 |
| 5 | vs Mercer | L 3-22 | +13.2 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs VMI · p 0.029
- Wk 8: at Chattanooga · p 0.563
- Wk 9: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.424
- Wk 10: at Samford · p 0.328
- Wk 11: at Furman · p 0.379
- Wk 12: vs The Citadel · p 0.110