Gardner-Webb
OVC · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-5 overall
Strength of record
#102
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#83
−3.7 pts · likely #53–107
Strength of schedule
25.0
#89 of 129
Strength of victory
6.7
1 wins
Record SOS
0.376
Opp. 27.1% · Opp. opp. 58.5%
Remaining SOS
22.8
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Gardner-Webb. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Wofford | L 20-21 | −0.4 | −1.7 | 0.225 | 3 | −3.7 |
| 4 | at Presbyterian | W 42-21 | −14.8 | +1.7 | 0.067 | 4 | +6.0 |
| 5 | vs Tennessee Tech | L 21-52 | −2.3 | −1.7 | 0.189 | 3 | −28.5 |
| 6 | at UT Martin | L 17-35 | +8.0 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Lindenwood · p 0.174
- Wk 9: at Southeast Missouri State · p 0.583
- Wk 10: at Charleston Southern · p 0.119
- Wk 11: vs Eastern Illinois · p 0.185
- Wk 12: vs Tennessee State · p 0.150
- Wk 13: at Western Illinois · p 0.159
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at James MadisonFBS · L 6-13
- Wk 3: at CharlotteFBS · L 26-27