Mercer
Southern · 5-0 vs FCS · 5-0 overall
Strength of record
#8
A #25-level team matches it 20% of the time
Power
#8
+13.9 pts · likely #5–34
Strength of schedule
24.6
#90 of 129
Strength of victory
24.6
#19
Record SOS
0.414
Opp. 35.0% · Opp. opp. 54.3%
Remaining SOS
36.0
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Presbyterian | W 63-10 | −16.5 | −1.7 | 0.032 | 4 | +16.7 |
| 2 | at Bethune-Cookman | W 31-2 | −5.9 | +1.7 | 0.185 | 3 | +22.5 |
| 3 | at Chattanooga | W 10-3 | +10.7 | +1.7 | 0.592 | 1 | +18.3 |
| 4 | vs The Citadel | W 38-21 | −8.6 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Princeton · p 0.222
- Wk 8: at Samford · p 0.328
- Wk 9: vs Western Carolina · p 0.303
- Wk 10: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.424
- Wk 11: at VMI · p 0.048
- Wk 13: vs Furman · p 0.295
- Wk 15: vs Rhode Island · p 0.361
- Wk 16: at North Dakota State · p 0.902