The Citadel
Southern · 1-4 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#96
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#101
−7.7 pts · likely #69–114
Strength of schedule
36.9
#35 of 129
Strength of victory
11.9
1 wins
Record SOS
0.484
Opp. 51.7% · Opp. opp. 41.7%
Remaining SOS
29.1
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-3
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against The Citadel. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Charleston Southern | W 22-21 | −10.1 | +1.7 | 0.119 | 3 | −7.6 |
| 2 | vs South Carolina State | L 20-23 | +2.0 | −1.7 | 0.277 | 2 | −3.5 |
| 4 | at Mercer | L 21-38 | +15.5 | +1.7 | 0.713 | 1 | −1.5 |
| 5 | vs East Tennessee State | L 17-34 | +7.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Western Carolina · p 0.388
- Wk 8: at VMI · p 0.048
- Wk 9: vs Samford · p 0.249
- Wk 11: vs Chattanooga · p 0.471
- Wk 12: at Wofford · p 0.298
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs North GreenvilleDII · W 54-0