East Tennessee State
Southern · 2-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#35
A #25-level team matches it 73% of the time
Power
#33
+7.0 pts · likely #13–65
Strength of schedule
49.6
#4 of 129
Strength of victory
33.6
2 wins
Record SOS
0.556
Opp. 52.1% · Opp. opp. 62.6%
Remaining SOS
31.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs North Dakota State | L 35-38 | +28.9 | −1.7 | 0.893 | 1 | +21.7 |
| 4 | at Elon | W 34-14 | +7.3 | +1.7 | 0.502 | 1 | +24.8 |
| 5 | at The Citadel | W 34-17 | −6.7 | +1.7 | 0.171 | 3 | +11.0 |
| 6 | vs Chattanooga | L 10-17 | +7.7 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Samford · p 0.249
- Wk 9: at Wofford · p 0.298
- Wk 10: at Mercer · p 0.684
- Wk 11: vs Western Carolina · p 0.303
- Wk 12: vs Furman · p 0.295
- Wk 13: at VMI · p 0.048
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at App StateFBS · L 10-38
- Wk 2: vs UVA WiseDII · W 61-0