Eastern Illinois
OVC · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-5 overall
Strength of record
#87
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#77
−2.6 pts · likely #49–102
Strength of schedule
36.4
#36 of 129
Strength of victory
20.2
1 wins
Record SOS
0.558
Opp. 58.3% · Opp. opp. 50.9%
Remaining SOS
26.6
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Eastern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Indiana State | W 27-20 | −1.6 | −1.7 | 0.202 | 3 | +2.5 |
| 4 | at Illinois State | L 7-31 | +11.2 | +1.7 | 0.606 | 1 | −9.6 |
| 5 | vs Lindenwood | L 25-28 | −4.2 | −1.7 | 0.157 | 3 | −8.2 |
| 6 | vs Southeast Missouri State | L 27-38 | +10.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Tennessee State · p 0.210
- Wk 9: at UT Martin · p 0.543
- Wk 10: vs Western Illinois · p 0.109
- Wk 11: at Gardner-Webb · p 0.229
- Wk 12: vs Charleston Southern · p 0.079
- Wk 13: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.424
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at IllinoisFBS · L 0-45
- Wk 3: at NorthwesternFBS · L 7-31