Southeast Missouri State
OVC · 5-0 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#4
A #25-level team matches it 15% of the time
Power
#22
+9.7 pts · likely #10–51
Strength of schedule
29.8
#64 of 129
Strength of victory
29.8
#11
Record SOS
0.460
Opp. 38.0% · Opp. opp. 62.0%
Remaining SOS
24.7
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
4-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southeast Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) North Alabama | W 37-15 | +2.5 | 0.0 | 0.329 | 2 | +23.0 |
| 2 | vs UT Martin | W 45-42 OT | +8.8 | −1.7 | 0.450 | 2 | +10.2 |
| 4 | at Southern Illinois | W 38-21 | +5.0 | +1.7 | 0.438 | 2 | +21.0 |
| 5 | vs Northwestern State | W 19-0 | −19.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Tennessee Tech · p 0.336
- Wk 8: at Charleston Southern · p 0.119
- Wk 9: vs Gardner-Webb · p 0.165
- Wk 11: at Lindenwood · p 0.239
- Wk 12: vs Western Illinois · p 0.109
- Wk 13: at Tennessee State · p 0.210
- Wk 14: vs Illinois State · p 0.552
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at New Mexico StateFBS · L 16-23