North Dakota
MVFC · 5-6 vs FCS · 5-7 overall
Strength of record
#42
A #25-level team matches it 84% of the time
Power
#31
+8.0 pts · likely #14–51
Strength of schedule
47.4
#12 of 129
Strength of victory
26.4
#41
Record SOS
0.572
Opp. 58.2% · Opp. opp. 55.1%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-4
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Montana | W 27-24 | +14.1 | −2.5 | 0.572 | 1 | +14.1 |
| 3 | vs Idaho State | W 52-28 | +0.2 | −2.5 | 0.223 | 3 | +19.3 |
| 4 | vs San Diego | W 41-24 | −3.0 | −2.5 | 0.163 | 3 | +12.1 |
| 5 | vs Murray State | W 72-35 | −7.4 | −2.5 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Iowa StateFBS · L 3-21