Idaho State
Big Sky · 4-6 vs FCS · 5-7 overall
Strength of record
#44
A #25-level team matches it 87% of the time
Power
#72
−2.2 pts · likely #55–96
Strength of schedule
48.3
#9 of 129
Strength of victory
36.6
#11
Record SOS
0.506
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 51.7%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-5
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Idaho State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at North Dakota | L 28-52 | +8.5 | +2.5 | 0.555 | 1 | −13.4 |
| 4 | vs Southern Utah | W 38-28 | +11.7 | −2.5 | 0.505 | 1 | +16.9 |
| 5 | vs Montana State | L 17-37 | +27.0 | −2.5 | 0.854 | 1 | +4.4 |
| 6 | at Cal Poly | W 41-38 | −5.8 | +2.5 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Oregon StateFBS · L 15-38
- Wk 2: vs Western OregonDII · W 50-10