Montana State
Big Sky · 12-0 vs FCS · 13-0 overall
Strength of record
#3
A #25-level team matches it 0.1% of the time
Power
#2
+27.0 pts · likely #2–4
Strength of schedule
38.6
#32 of 129
Strength of victory
38.6
#4
Record SOS
0.504
Opp. 47.8% · Opp. opp. 55.6%
Remaining SOS
75.2
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
5-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (12)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Utah Tech | W 31-7 | −6.7 | +2.5 | 0.184 | 3 | +21.4 |
| 2 | vs Maine | W 41-24 | +0.8 | −2.5 | 0.235 | 3 | +15.7 |
| 4 | vs Mercyhurst | W 52-13 | −11.3 | −2.5 | 0.061 | 4 | +22.5 |
| 5 | at Idaho State | W 37-17 | −1.4 | +2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 16: vs Idaho · p 0.565
- Wk 17: vs (N) North Dakota State · p 0.900
- Wk 17: vs South Dakota · p 0.790
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at New MexicoFBS · W 35-31