Montana
Big Sky · 9-5 vs FCS · 9-5 overall
Strength of record
#16
A #25-level team matches it 32% of the time
Power
#8
+13.6 pts · likely #6–23
Strength of schedule
44.8
#14 of 129
Strength of victory
32.8
#17
Record SOS
0.563
Opp. 58.1% · Opp. opp. 52.7%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-4
Tier 2
Strong
4-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (14)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Missouri State | W 29-24 | +14.0 | −2.5 | 0.568 | 1 | +14.7 |
| 2 | at North Dakota | L 24-27 | +9.1 | +2.5 | 0.571 | 1 | +7.6 |
| 3 | vs Morehead State | W 59-2 | −12.0 | −2.5 | 0.055 | 4 | +21.0 |
| 4 | vs Western Carolina | W 46-35 | +8.0 |