South Dakota State
MVFC · 9-1 vs FCS · 10-2 overall
Strength of record
#2
A #25-level team matches it 0.2% of the time
Power
#1
+33.9 pts · likely #1–2
Strength of schedule
52.9
#2 of 129
Strength of victory
48.5
#1
Record SOS
0.605
Opp. 61.3% · Opp. opp. 58.9%
Remaining SOS
68.2
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
5-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Incarnate Word | W 45-24 | +14.0 | −2.4 | 0.570 | 1 | +32.2 |
| 4 | at Southeastern Louisiana | W 41-0 | +7.6 | +2.4 | 0.528 | 1 | +43.4 |
| 6 | at Northern Iowa | W 41-3 | +1.7 | +2.4 | 0.371 | 2 | +38.8 |
| 7 | vs Youngstown State | W 63-13 | +6.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 15: vs Montana · p 0.541
- Wk 16: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.574
- Wk 17: at North Dakota State · p 0.931
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Oklahoma StateFBS · L 20-44
- Wk 3: vs Augustana University (SD)DII · W 24-3