North Dakota State
MVFC · 10-1 vs FCS · 10-2 overall
Strength of record
#1
A #25-level team matches it 0.1% of the time
Power
#2
+27.6 pts · likely #2–3
Strength of schedule
49.7
#7 of 129
Strength of victory
45.9
#2
Record SOS
0.614
Opp. 64.0% · Opp. opp. 56.2%
Remaining SOS
69.6
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
3-1
Tier 2
Strong
5-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Tennessee State | W 52-3 | +3.0 | −2.4 | 0.285 | 2 | +35.4 |
| 3 | at East Tennessee State | W 38-35 | +4.6 | +2.4 | 0.446 | 2 | +9.7 |
| 4 | vs Towson | W 41-24 | +4.3 | −2.4 | 0.316 | 2 | +19.7 |
| 5 | at Illinois State | W 42-10 | +13.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 15: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.424
- Wk 16: vs Mercer · p 0.562
- Wk 17: vs South Dakota State · p 0.943
- Wk 17: vs (N) Montana State · p 0.856
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at ColoradoFBS · L 26-31