Incarnate Word
Southland · 10-2 vs FCS · 10-2 overall
Strength of record
#10
A #25-level team matches it 14% of the time
Power
#7
+13.6 pts · likely #5–25
Strength of schedule
33.2
#56 of 129
Strength of victory
26.0
#42
Record SOS
0.531
Opp. 54.0% · Opp. opp. 51.2%
Remaining SOS
72.4
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (12)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Incarnate Word. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Northern Colorado | W 28-7 | −14.8 | −2.4 | 0.038 | 4 | +3.5 |
| 2 | at South Dakota State | L 24-45 | +34.8 | +2.4 | 0.972 | 1 | +15.3 |
| 3 | at Southern Illinois | L 28-35 | +3.0 | +2.4 | 0.405 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 4 | vs Northern Arizona | W 38-14 | +10.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 15: vs Villanova · p 0.477
- Wk 16: at South Dakota State · p 0.972