Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 7-4 vs FCS · 8-5 overall
Strength of record
#34
A #25-level team matches it 60% of the time
Power
#29
+8.2 pts · likely #13–49
Strength of schedule
37.9
#34 of 129
Strength of victory
24.3
#50
Record SOS
0.481
Opp. 45.6% · Opp. opp. 53.0%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-4
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Utah Tech | W 45-17 | −5.3 | +2.4 | 0.210 | 3 | +24.8 |
| 4 | at Incarnate Word | L 14-38 | +12.7 | +2.4 | 0.661 | 1 | −7.9 |
| 5 | vs Sacramento State | W 34-16 | +3.6 | −2.4 | 0.298 | 2 | +17.1 |
| 6 | at Idaho | L 17-23 | +12.0 | +2.4 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Lincoln (CA)DII · W 66-6
- Wk 2: at ArizonaFBS · L 10-22