Western Illinois
OVC · 2-6 vs FCS · 3-8 overall
Strength of record
#91
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#104
−8.6 pts · likely #81–118
Strength of schedule
35.8
#42 of 129
Strength of victory
28.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.541
Opp. 56.7% · Opp. opp. 48.8%
Remaining SOS
18.7
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Illinois State | L 34-51 | +9.9 | +2.2 | 0.584 | 1 | −5.1 |
| 6 | at Charleston Southern | W 31-20 | −7.9 | +2.2 | 0.159 | 3 | +4.3 |
| 7 | vs UT Martin | L 17-45 | +11.5 | −2.2 | 0.509 | 1 | −18.0 |
| 8 | vs Tennessee Tech | W 37-21 | +8.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs Gardner-Webb · p 0.187
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Northern IllinoisFBS · L 15-54
- Wk 2: at IndianaFBS · L 3-77
- Wk 5: vs McKendreeDII · W 49-32