Tennessee State
OVC · 8-3 vs FCS · 8-3 overall
Strength of record
#29
A #25-level team matches it 65% of the time
Power
#55
+2.0 pts · likely #33–78
Strength of schedule
28.1
#80 of 129
Strength of victory
14.7
#78
Record SOS
0.463
Opp. 43.6% · Opp. opp. 51.7%
Remaining SOS
55.2
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 41-21 | −22.2 | −2.2 | 0.012 | 4 | −2.2 |
| 2 | at North Dakota State | L 3-52 | +28.0 | +2.2 | 0.925 | 1 | −4.5 |
| 3 | vs (N) Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 41-28 | −19.9 | 0.0 | 0.025 | 4 | −5.9 |
| 4 | at Tennessee Tech | L 14-24 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.413
- Wk 14: at Montana · p 0.691