Morgan State
MEAC · 3-5 vs FCS · 5-6 overall
Strength of record
#81
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#102
−7.5 pts · likely #77–115
Strength of schedule
32.0
#62 of 129
Strength of victory
17.6
#71
Record SOS
0.509
Opp. 53.3% · Opp. opp. 46.0%
Remaining SOS
10.7
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-3
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morgan State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Hampton | W 30-28 | +2.9 | +2.2 | 0.396 | 2 | +5.8 |
| 2 | at Towson | L 9-14 | +4.9 | +2.2 | 0.449 | 2 | +1.2 |
| 5 | at Stony Brook | L 3-22 | +6.1 | +2.2 | 0.482 | 2 | −10.4 |
| 7 | vs Merrimack | L 24-32 | −1.2 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs Howard · p 0.107
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at OhioFBS · L 6-21
- Wk 4: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 56-7
- Wk 6: vs Lincoln (PA)DII · W 41-0