Merrimack
FCS Indep. · 4-4 vs FCS · 4-6 overall
Strength of record
#83
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#70
−1.5 pts · likely #49–95
Strength of schedule
19.4
#114 of 129
Strength of victory
14.6
#79
Record SOS
0.452
Opp. 43.4% · Opp. opp. 48.8%
Remaining SOS
20.0
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-3
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Merrimack. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Bucknell | W 31-21 | −3.5 | +2.2 | 0.243 | 3 | +8.7 |
| 4 | vs Maine | L 15-26 | +2.0 | −2.2 | 0.265 | 2 | −10.2 |
| 5 | vs Dartmouth | L 14-16 | +5.7 | −2.2 | 0.356 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 7 | at Morgan State | W 32-24 | −6.0 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: at Fordham · p 0.200
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Air ForceFBS · L 6-21
- Wk 2: at UConnFBS · L 17-63