Stony Brook
CAA · 8-2 vs FCS · 8-3 overall
Strength of record
#22
A #25-level team matches it 38% of the time
Power
#38
+6.3 pts · likely #20–59
Strength of schedule
29.5
#75 of 129
Strength of victory
24.1
#48
Record SOS
0.473
Opp. 44.3% · Opp. opp. 53.3%
Remaining SOS
42.1
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stony Brook. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Stonehill | W 37-10 | −17.8 | −2.2 | 0.024 | 4 | +6.8 |
| 3 | at Fordham | W 27-21 | −6.0 | +2.2 | 0.192 | 3 | +4.4 |
| 4 | at Campbell | W 24-17 | −3.5 | +2.2 | 0.242 | 3 | +5.8 |
| 5 | vs Morgan State | W 22-3 | −6.1 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs Monmouth · p 0.421
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MarshallFBS · L 3-45