Southern
SWAC · 5-4 vs FCS · 6-4 overall
Strength of record
#65
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#100
−7.3 pts · likely #74–114
Strength of schedule
23.4
#94 of 129
Strength of victory
15.0
#76
Record SOS
0.514
Opp. 53.5% · Opp. opp. 47.3%
Remaining SOS
23.1
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-3
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at McNeese | L 7-21 | +1.4 | +2.4 | 0.363 | 2 | −11.2 |
| 3 | at Jackson State | L 15-33 | +6.3 | +2.4 | 0.493 | 2 | −8.2 |
| 4 | at Prairie View A&M | W 31-24 OT | −9.6 | +2.4 | 0.137 | 3 | −2.9 |
| 6 | vs Nicholls State | L 7-51 | −5.2 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff · p 0.021
- Wk 14: vs (N) Grambling State · p 0.175
- Wk 15: at Jackson State · p 0.496
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Savannah StateDII · W 42-10