Alcorn State
SWAC · 4-3 vs FCS · 5-5 overall
Strength of record
#81
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#87
−4.8 pts · likely #62–108
Strength of schedule
15.5
#122 of 129
Strength of victory
9.6
#89
Record SOS
0.414
Opp. 37.4% · Opp. opp. 49.5%
Remaining SOS
24.8
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-2
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alcorn State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | at McNeese | L 14-42 | −0.5 | +2.4 | 0.317 | 2 | −25.2 |
| 5 | at Mississippi Valley State | W 42-21 | −23.5 | +2.4 | 0.021 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 6 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 38-28 | −19.2 | −2.4 | 0.019 | 4 | −11.0 |
| 7 | at Grambling State | W 17-15 | −4.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Prairie View A&M · p 0.131
- Wk 13: vs Jackson State · p 0.366
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UABFBS · L 3-41
- Wk 2: at VanderbiltFBS · L 0-55
- Wk 3: vs Edward WatersDII · W 38-7