Alabama State
SWAC · 4-4 vs FCS · 5-4 overall
Strength of record
#82
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#67
−0.8 pts · likely #44–91
Strength of schedule
21.3
#107 of 129
Strength of victory
11.3
#85
Record SOS
0.439
Opp. 43.1% · Opp. opp. 45.5%
Remaining SOS
21.9
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-2
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alabama State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) North Carolina Central | L 24-31 | +8.3 | 0.0 | 0.480 | 2 | +1.1 |
| 3 | at Samford | L 7-12 | −0.3 | +2.4 | 0.321 | 2 | −3.2 |
| 5 | at Bethune-Cookman | W 26-21 | −13.1 | +2.4 | 0.091 | 4 | −3.8 |
| 6 | vs Florida A&M | L 13-28 | +0.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Jackson State · p 0.366
- Wk 13: vs Prairie View A&M · p 0.073
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Miles CollegeDII · W 24-3