Nicholls State
Southland · 4-4 vs FCS · 4-6 overall
Strength of record
#75
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#70
−1.7 pts · likely #51–95
Strength of schedule
25.8
#86 of 129
Strength of victory
12.6
#83
Record SOS
0.437
Opp. 40.2% · Opp. opp. 50.6%
Remaining SOS
31.9
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Nicholls State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Sacramento State | L 7-34 | +0.8 | +2.4 | 0.348 | 2 | −22.5 |
| 4 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 66-0 | −23.0 | −2.4 | 0.010 | 4 | +9.6 |
| 6 | at Southern | W 51-7 | −4.8 | +2.4 | 0.220 | 3 | +30.2 |
| 7 | at Incarnate Word | L 10-55 | +12.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Lamar · p 0.271
- Wk 13: vs Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.366
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Louisiana TechFBS · L 17-25
- Wk 2: at LSUFBS · L 21-44