Stephen F. Austin
Southland · 5-3 vs FCS · 6-4 overall
Strength of record
#57
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#35
+7.2 pts · likely #16–56
Strength of schedule
22.0
#104 of 129
Strength of victory
16.3
#72
Record SOS
0.429
Opp. 38.4% · Opp. opp. 51.9%
Remaining SOS
47.0
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stephen F. Austin. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at McNeese | L 24-28 | +0.7 | +2.4 | 0.346 | 2 | −1.2 |
| 4 | vs Northern Colorado | W 48-7 | −10.4 | −2.4 | 0.069 | 4 | +20.1 |
| 6 | vs Northwestern State | W 59-17 | −22.4 | −2.4 | 0.011 | 4 | +9.8 |
| 7 | at Lamar | W 27-20 | −2.5 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.570
- Wk 13: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.371
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs North American UniversityNon-NCAA · W 77-0
- Wk 2: at North TexasFBS · L 20-35