Villanova
CAA · 7-1 vs FCS · 7-2 overall
Strength of record
#8
A #25-level team matches it 17% of the time
Power
#16
+10.7 pts · likely #8–42
Strength of schedule
34.0
#48 of 129
Strength of victory
34.3
#12
Record SOS
0.550
Opp. 52.9% · Opp. opp. 59.3%
Remaining SOS
44.1
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
4-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Youngstown State | W 24-17 | +7.0 | −2.5 | 0.380 | 2 | +11.2 |
| 2 | at Colgate | W 28-3 | −6.0 | +2.5 | 0.199 | 3 | +20.3 |
| 3 | vs Towson | W 14-13 | +2.7 | −2.5 | 0.275 | 2 | +1.7 |
| 5 | vs Long Island | W 24-10 | −4.8 | −2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs North Carolina A&T · p 0.034
- Wk 12: at Monmouth · p 0.540
- Wk 13: vs Delaware · p 0.560
- Wk 14: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.389
- Wk 15: at Incarnate Word · p 0.682
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 4: at MarylandFBS · L 20-38