Long Island
NEC · 2-6 vs FCS · 2-7 overall
Strength of record
#98
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#85
−4.9 pts · likely #63–109
Strength of schedule
34.8
#43 of 129
Strength of victory
14.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.594
Opp. 68.2% · Opp. opp. 41.9%
Remaining SOS
12.6
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-5
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Long Island. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at UAlbany | L 21-27 | +0.4 | +2.5 | 0.341 | 2 | −2.4 |
| 3 | vs Lehigh | L 17-20 | +4.6 | −2.5 | 0.320 | 2 | −1.7 |
| 4 | vs Rhode Island | L 21-28 | +10.4 | −2.5 | 0.471 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 5 | at Villanova | L 10-24 | +11.2 | +2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Sacred Heart · p 0.136
- Wk 12: vs Saint Francis · p 0.084
- Wk 13: at Wagner · p 0.159
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at TCUFBS · L 0-45