New Hampshire
CAA · 5-3 vs FCS · 5-4 overall
Strength of record
#30
A #25-level team matches it 60% of the time
Power
#18
+10.0 pts · likely #9–45
Strength of schedule
39.7
#29 of 129
Strength of victory
31.2
#22
Record SOS
0.540
Opp. 55.1% · Opp. opp. 52.0%
Remaining SOS
42.7
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against New Hampshire. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Holy Cross | W 21-20 | +9.8 | +2.5 | 0.589 | 1 | +13.5 |
| 3 | vs Stonehill | W 45-6 | −17.4 | −2.5 | 0.025 | 4 | +14.3 |
| 4 | vs Bryant | W 38-17 | −7.2 | −2.5 | 0.102 | 3 | +11.8 |
| 6 | at Harvard | L 23-28 | +11.2 | +2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Monmouth · p 0.406
- Wk 12: vs Stony Brook · p 0.336
- Wk 13: at Maine · p 0.422
- Wk 14: vs UT Martin · p 0.543
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UCFFBS · L 3-57