Holy Cross
Patriot · 4-4 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#52
A #25-level team matches it 91% of the time
Power
#20
+9.9 pts · likely #9–45
Strength of schedule
35.3
#41 of 129
Strength of victory
20.1
#58
Record SOS
0.510
Opp. 50.6% · Opp. opp. 51.7%
Remaining SOS
20.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Holy Cross. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Rhode Island | L 17-20 | +9.8 | +2.5 | 0.589 | 1 | +9.6 |
| 2 | vs New Hampshire | L 20-21 | +9.5 | −2.5 | 0.448 | 2 | +6.4 |
| 3 | at Bryant | W 43-22 | −6.6 | +2.5 | 0.187 | 3 | +17.0 |
| 4 | vs Yale | L 31-38 | +5.4 | −2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Lehigh · p 0.310
- Wk 12: vs Bucknell · p 0.130
- Wk 13: at Georgetown · p 0.172
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 5: at SyracuseFBS · L 14-42