Yale
Ivy · 4-3 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#42
A #25-level team matches it 75% of the time
Power
#35
+7.4 pts · likely #13–55
Strength of schedule
38.2
#33 of 129
Strength of victory
40.6
#3
Record SOS
0.586
Opp. 62.9% · Opp. opp. 49.8%
Remaining SOS
31.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Yale. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | at Holy Cross | W 38-31 | +10.9 | +2.5 | 0.618 | 1 | +19.5 |
| 5 | at Cornell | L 23-47 | −5.4 | +2.5 | 0.209 | 3 | −22.2 |
| 6 | vs Central Connecticut State | W 23-22 | −0.1 | −2.5 | 0.216 | 3 | −1.8 |
| 7 | vs Dartmouth | L 43-44 OT | +7.5 | −2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Brown · p 0.169
- Wk 12: vs Princeton · p 0.143
- Wk 13: at Harvard · p 0.629