Saint Francis
NEC · 3-4 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#99
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#68
−0.9 pts · likely #44–93
Strength of schedule
23.2
#108 of 128
Strength of victory
11.9
#76
Record SOS
0.458
Opp. 46.8% · Opp. opp. 43.7%
Remaining SOS
8.4
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-2
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Saint Francis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Robert Morris | L 21-31 | −18.6 | +2.5 | 0.044 | 4 | −23.8 |
| 3 | at Delaware | L 14-42 | +19.1 | +2.5 | 0.804 | 1 | −5.6 |
| 4 | vs Sacred Heart | L 34-37 | −14.2 | −2.5 | 0.041 | 4 | −18.0 |
| 5 | at Stonehill | W 15-10 | −12.3 | +2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Long Island · p 0.063
- Wk 12: at Central Connecticut State · p 0.104
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Western MichiganFBS · L 17-35