Merrimack
NEC · 3-4 vs FCS · 4-4 overall
Strength of record
#98
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#66
−0.4 pts · likely #43–89
Strength of schedule
21.2
#113 of 128
Strength of victory
11.2
#78
Record SOS
0.390
Opp. 35.7% · Opp. opp. 45.6%
Remaining SOS
15.1
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Merrimack. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Holy Cross | L 20-42 | +15.4 | +2.5 | 0.726 | 1 | −4.8 |
| 2 | vs (N) Lehigh | L 12-14 | −9.5 | 0.0 | 0.105 | 3 | −10.2 |
| 4 | at Wagner | L 27-30 | −15.9 | +2.5 | 0.064 | 4 | −14.2 |
| 5 | at Sacred Heart | W 17-7 | −12.5 | +2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Central Connecticut State · p 0.055
- Wk 12: vs Duquesne · p 0.246
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 44-0