Wagner
NEC · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#95
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#123
−15.6 pts · likely #103–126
Strength of schedule
21.3
#111 of 128
Strength of victory
19.6
2 wins
Record SOS
0.370
Opp. 35.9% · Opp. opp. 39.2%
Remaining SOS
11.7
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Wagner. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Fordham | L 16-46 | +3.8 | +2.4 | 0.425 | 2 | −22.7 |
| 3 | at Sacred Heart | W 17-10 | −9.6 | +2.4 | 0.135 | 3 | −1.6 |
| 4 | vs Merrimack | W 30-27 | +1.7 | −2.4 | 0.257 | 2 | +1.1 |
| 7 | at Saint Francis | L 7-31 | −5.2 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Stonehill · p 0.067
- Wk 10: vs Duquesne · p 0.179
- Wk 11: at Long Island · p 0.103
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at NavyFBS · L 0-24
- Wk 5: at RutgersFBS · L 3-52