Merrimack
NEC · 3-3 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#93
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#63
+0.4 pts · likely #39–86
Strength of schedule
20.7
#112 of 128
Strength of victory
11.8
#68
Record SOS
0.360
Opp. 31.4% · Opp. opp. 45.3%
Remaining SOS
15.8
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Merrimack. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Holy Cross | L 20-42 | +16.1 | +2.4 | 0.739 | 1 | −4.1 |
| 2 | vs (N) Lehigh | L 12-14 | −9.6 | 0.0 | 0.104 | 3 | −10.3 |
| 4 | at Wagner | L 27-30 | −18.3 | +2.4 | 0.045 | 4 | −16.3 |
| 5 | at Sacred Heart | W 17-7 | −11.0 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Saint Francis · p 0.243
- Wk 11: vs Central Connecticut State · p 0.051
- Wk 12: vs Duquesne · p 0.179
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 44-0