Central Connecticut State
NEC · 2-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#106
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#112
−12.1 pts · likely #87–122
Strength of schedule
13.2
#126 of 128
Strength of victory
5.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.407
Opp. 38.0% · Opp. opp. 46.2%
Remaining SOS
15.9
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Connecticut State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Stonehill | L 30-33 | −11.1 | −2.4 | 0.063 | 4 | −15.3 |
| 5 | at Brown | L 20-42 | −2.4 | +2.4 | 0.271 | 2 | −21.5 |
| 6 | vs Delaware State | W 51-44 | −20.8 | −2.4 | 0.015 | 4 | −14.5 |
| 7 | at Duquesne | L 20-44 | −4.6 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Long Island · p 0.057
- Wk 10: at Sacred Heart · p 0.113
- Wk 11: at Merrimack · p 0.311
- Wk 12: vs Saint Francis · p 0.155
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs American InternationalDII · W 44-0
- Wk 3: at Kent StateFBS · L 10-38