Brown
Ivy · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#61
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#69
−1.8 pts · likely #48–94
Strength of schedule
31.8
#65 of 128
Strength of victory
23.7
#45
Record SOS
0.547
Opp. 56.7% · Opp. opp. 50.6%
Remaining SOS
37.9
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Brown. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Bryant | W 29-25 | −0.7 | +2.4 | 0.310 | 2 | +4.7 |
| 4 | at Harvard | L 31-34 | +14.7 | +2.4 | 0.708 | 1 | +11.5 |
| 5 | vs Central Connecticut State | W 42-20 | −11.2 | −2.4 | 0.063 | 4 | +7.6 |
| 6 | vs Rhode Island | L 30-34 | +3.5 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Penn · p 0.492
- Wk 10: vs Yale · p 0.359
- Wk 11: at Columbia · p 0.381
- Wk 12: vs Dartmouth · p 0.286