Harvard
Ivy · 5-1 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#18
A #25-level team matches it 38% of the time
Power
#14
+12.1 pts · likely #6–42
Strength of schedule
31.2
#68 of 128
Strength of victory
29.6
#25
Record SOS
0.597
Opp. 62.2% · Opp. opp. 54.6%
Remaining SOS
37.9
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Harvard. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs St. Thomas (MN) | W 45-13 | −4.5 | −2.4 | 0.140 | 3 | +24.4 |
| 4 | vs Brown | W 34-31 | −3.1 | −2.4 | 0.164 | 3 | −1.2 |
| 5 | vs (N) Holy Cross | W 38-28 | +18.7 | 0.0 | 0.745 | 1 | +25.6 |
| 6 | vs Cornell | W 41-23 | −2.7 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Dartmouth · p 0.286
- Wk 10: at Columbia · p 0.381
- Wk 11: vs Penn · p 0.367
- Wk 12: at Yale · p 0.483